Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.Russian diplomat: The Security Council will release documents related to Syria in the "next few days". According to a report by the Russian satellite agency on December 10, Russian Permanent Representative to the United Nations Vasily Niebianjia said on December 9 that members of the UN Security Council discussed the necessity of formulating a document related to the situation in Syria in closed-door consultations on December 9, which may be released in the next few days. According to the report, Nie Bianjia pointed out: "We discussed the necessity of the Security Council to formulate a document. No one is ready today, but I think we will see it in the next few days, and hope that the sooner the better. " Commenting on the fate of Russian troops staying in Syria after the regime change in Syria, Niebianjia added that this question was asked to the wrong person. Nie Bianjia said in response to a reporter's question on this topic: "You asked the wrong person." (Reference message)AI application direction rose and strengthened. Many stocks such as Hanwang Technology rose and strengthened, while Hanwang Technology, Aofei Entertainment, Tianyue Digital, Bona Film and Jincai Internet rose, while Haitian Ruisheng, Iflytek, Fushi Holdings and Sanliuling followed suit.
Lei Jun said that Xiaomi YU7 is currently undergoing a large-scale road test and is expected to be officially listed in June and July next year. The scale of computing power in Hubei has exceeded 10,000 P. According to Hubei Provincial Bureau of Data, the scale of computing power in Hubei has exceeded 10,000 P, which is expected to drive the scale of computing power and big data industry in Hubei Province to reach 120 billion yuan. Internet access, map navigation, gene sequencing, climate prediction, high-end manufacturing ... Computing power is everywhere. P is the quantitative unit of computing power, and 10,000 P computing power is equivalent to the computing power of 5 million high-performance computers.
Wan Liyang: The aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production. Wan Liyang said on the interactive platform on December 10th that the aluminum alloy die-casting project invested and built by the company in Jiangshan, Zhejiang Province has been put into production.Liang Zhonghua of Haitong Securities: The general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 has been determined, and the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9 to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Liang Zhonghua, chief macro analyst of Haitong Securities, said that judging from the statement of the meeting, the general direction of "positive" macro policy in 2025 is certain. Among them, "supernormal countercyclical adjustment" was put forward for the first time. Liang Zhonghua analyzed that "supernormal adjustment" may be different from QE (quantitative easing) in western countries, but refers to a traditional tool that has grown steadily in the past few years, making a breakthrough on the margin and playing the role of "keeping innovation" and "enriching and perfecting the policy toolbox". Judging from the policies that have been issued since September, this round of steady growth is a steady growth under the framework of "high quality". The high-quality framework will not change, and there will be no strong stimulation of flood irrigation. The meeting proposed to "implement a more active fiscal policy and a moderately loose monetary policy". Liang Zhonghua believes that next year's finance is expected to make further marginal efforts. It is expected that deficit ratio may improve. At present, 3.5%-4.0% is more likely, and the scale of special bonds may be marginally increased. Special government bonds supporting "duality" and "two innovations" will continue to be issued or increased. In addition, the debt-melting policy launched in November will also be the financial focus next year, and it is expected that special government bonds may be issued to supplement bank capital. In addition, the gradual interest rate cut will continue next year, and the structural monetary policy will continue to exert its strength. The meeting stressed that "it is necessary to vigorously boost consumption, improve investment efficiency, and expand domestic demand in all directions." In this regard, Liang Zhonghua believes that compared with Politburo meeting of the Chinese Communist Party's statement of "expanding domestic demand with the focus on boosting consumption" in July, this meeting pays more attention to expanding domestic demand, and its support is expected to be further increased in the future. Since the beginning of this year, with the extra-long special national debt funds in place, the consumption of consumer goods trade-in policy has gradually emerged. There is still room for further efforts to expand domestic demand policies such as replacing old consumer goods with new ones next year. Liang Zhonghua also mentioned that this meeting clearly put forward "stabilizing the property market and stock market", which shows that the policy pays high attention to the property market and stock market. As an important signal to pay attention to the economy and expectations, the policies of the property market and stock market are also positive.The South Korean police demanded that 11 people, including Premier Han Dezhu, be investigated. On December 10th, local time, the special investigation team of the National Investigation Headquarters of the South Korean Police Department, which is responsible for investigating the emergency martial law, said that 11 people, including State Councilor Han Dezhu and Zhao Taiyong, president of the National Intelligence Agency, had been asked to investigate. (CCTV News)
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13